Birmingham face Millwall at St. Andrew's Stadium in round 14 of the Championship. The odds bookmakers offered on the match give Birmingham a 48% win probability against 26% for Millwall, making Birmingham the clear favourite.
Current Form - Birmingham
Birmingham sit sixth on 23 points after 13 matches, with a record of six wins, five draws and two losses and a 23-13 goal record. Their last league match ended in a 3-1 win away to Lincoln City. Across their last five matches, Birmingham have won four and lost one, scoring 2.2 goals per match compared with 1.8 across the season, while conceding 0.4 against a season figure of 1.0. Their expected goals average is 1.69, compared with the league average of 1.45, while their expected goals conceded figure is 1.39.
Current Form - Millwall
Millwall are 12th with 18 points from 13 matches, having won five, drawn three and lost five, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. Their last league match was a 4-1 home win against Derby. In their last five matches, Millwall have recorded two wins, one draw and two losses; their average of 1.6 goals per match in that span is below their season figure of 1.8, while their 1.2 conceded is below the season figure of 1.6. Millwall’s expected goals average stands at 1.92 and their expected goals conceded figure at 1.34, against a league average of 1.45 for both metrics.
Head-to-Head Record
Birmingham were unbeaten in their last six meetings at home against Millwall, one win and five draws. Across their last five meetings, Birmingham won two, drew one and lost two, with an average of 2.2 goals; both teams scored in one of those five matches. Last season, Millwall beat Birmingham 3-0 at home in their most recent meeting.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
For Birmingham, forward Liam Millar has made nine appearances, scoring four goals and providing three assists. Defender Christoph Klarer has one assist, while midfielder Tomoki Iwata has two. August Priske, Birmingham’s top scorer with six goals and one assist, is a doubt because of health problems.
Millwall forward Kyrell Lisbie has made nine appearances and scored three goals, all in his last three matches, including two in the latest match. Forward Camiel Neghli has three goals and three assists, while defender Caleb Taylor has two goals and two assists. Jenson Metcalfe is unavailable through suspension after yellow cards, and Tairyk Arconte is unavailable with an ankle injury.
Key Numbers
↔️ Duel win rate: Birmingham 47% vs Millwall 52%
Birmingham
➕ Headed goals: 0.38 per match (2nd best, league average 0.21)
ℹ️ Throw ins: 23.1 per match (most in the league)
Millwall
➕ Big chances: 3.6 per match (2nd best, league average 2.3)
➕ Shots on target conceded: 3.5 per match (4th best, league average 4.3)
Match Notes
Christoph Klarer has received four yellow cards in 10 appearances for Birmingham across the last 10 matches. Derek Mazou-Sacko has also collected four yellow cards in 10 appearances for Millwall over the same window. Lyndon Dykes is at Millwall after coming from Birmingham, where he made 46 appearances and scored three goals across two seasons.
Betting Insights
The odds give a 53% probability to more than 2.5 goals, while the probability for both teams to score is 56%.
Goals implied by the odds: 2.8
These figures come from the odds bookmakers offered on this match, read two days before kickoff.
This content was generated using AI.